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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

39%

Jagiellonia

2.58

27%

Draw

3.71

34%

GKS Katowice

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

2.92

1.41

GKS Katowice xG

39%
27%
34%
JagielloniaDrawGKS Katowice

2.58

39%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

24%

Jagiellonia

4.10

22%

GKS Katowice

4.52

Win to Nil

9%

Jagiellonia

10.59

8%

GKS Katowice

13.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 7.6 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 8.1 11.5 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 8.7 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.1 4.4 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.509
λ Away (xG) 1.411
Total xG 2.920
League avg home goals 1.394
League avg away goals 1.160
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.214
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.119
GKS Katowice attack strength 1.087
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58