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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

67%

Jagiellonia

1.48

17%

Draw

5.92

16%

GKS Katowice

6.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.9%

Home win

2 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.62

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

3.85

1.22

GKS Katowice xG

67%
17%
16%
JagielloniaDrawGKS Katowice

1.48

67%

Home win

5.92

17%

Draw

6.36

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.89

Clean Sheet

29%

Jagiellonia

3.40

7%

GKS Katowice

13.80

Win to Nil

20%

Jagiellonia

5.04

1%

GKS Katowice

87.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2
1 5.6 6.8 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 7.3 9.0 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 6.4 7.9 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 4.2 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 2.2 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.625
λ Away (xG) 1.223
Total xG 3.848
League avg home goals 1.371
League avg away goals 1.165
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.494
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.892
GKS Katowice attack strength 1.176
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.282
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 22