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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

16:30

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

78%

Jagiellonia

1.28

15%

Draw

6.82

7%

Arka Gdynia

14.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

11.2%

Home win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.56

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

3.22

0.66

Arka Gdynia xG

78%
15%
JagielloniaDrawArka Gdynia

1.28

78%

Home win

6.82

15%

Draw

14.18

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

52%

Jagiellonia

1.93

8%

Arka Gdynia

12.97

Win to Nil

41%

Jagiellonia

2.46

1%

Arka Gdynia

184.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 10.3 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 13.1 8.6 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 11.2 7.4 2.4 0.5 0.1
4 7.2 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
5 3.7 2.4 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.563
λ Away (xG) 0.655
Total xG 3.218
League avg home goals 1.617
League avg away goals 1.248
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.259
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.063
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.494
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.259
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 11