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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

56%

Gornik Zabrze

1.77

25%

Draw

4.06

19%

Radomiak Radom

5.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.60

0.89

Radomiak Radom xG

56%
25%
19%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawRadomiak Radom

1.77

56%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

5.26

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

41%

Gornik Zabrze

2.43

18%

Radomiak Radom

5.52

Win to Nil

23%

Gornik Zabrze

4.32

3%

Radomiak Radom

29.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 6.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 12.7 11.3 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.7 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.2 5.5 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.708
λ Away (xG) 0.889
Total xG 2.597
League avg home goals 1.418
League avg away goals 1.093
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.984
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.961
Radomiak Radom attack strength 0.847
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.223
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54