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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 2 Feb 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

50%

Gornik Zabrze

1.99

29%

Draw

3.48

21%

Puszcza Niepołomice

4.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.21

0.81

Puszcza Niepołomice xG

50%
29%
21%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPuszcza Niepołomice

1.99

50%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

4.77

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.35

58%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

45%

Gornik Zabrze

2.25

25%

Puszcza Niepołomice

4.06

Win to Nil

22%

Gornik Zabrze

4.47

5%

Puszcza Niepołomice

19.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 8.9 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 15.4 12.4 5.0 1.4 0.3
2 10.8 8.7 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 5.0 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.402
λ Away (xG) 0.809
Total xG 2.211
League avg home goals 1.408
League avg away goals 1.156
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.015
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.934
Puszcza Niepołomice attack strength 0.748
Puszcza Niepołomice defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52