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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

41%

Gornik Zabrze

2.43

28%

Draw

3.62

31%

Legia Warszawa

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.48

1.13

Legia Warszawa xG

41%
28%
31%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLegia Warszawa

2.43

41%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

32%

Gornik Zabrze

3.10

26%

Legia Warszawa

3.83

Win to Nil

13%

Gornik Zabrze

7.54

8%

Legia Warszawa

12.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 9.5 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.3 12.8 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.6 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.4 3.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.342
λ Away (xG) 1.133
Total xG 2.475
League avg home goals 1.589
League avg away goals 1.191
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.936
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.912
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.043
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 43