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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

55%

Gornik Zabrze

1.80

21%

Draw

4.69

23%

Legia Warszawa

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

3.29

1.26

Legia Warszawa xG

55%
21%
23%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLegia Warszawa

1.80

55%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

28%

Gornik Zabrze

3.51

13%

Legia Warszawa

7.68

Win to Nil

16%

Gornik Zabrze

6.34

3%

Legia Warszawa

33.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.7 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 7.6 9.5 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.7 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.2 6.6 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.038
λ Away (xG) 1.257
Total xG 3.295
League avg home goals 1.445
League avg away goals 1.172
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.108
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.909
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.180
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.273
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60