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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

19:15

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

52%

Gornik Zabrze

1.92

26%

Draw

3.88

22%

Lech Poznan

4.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.73

1.04

Lech Poznan xG

52%
26%
22%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLech Poznan

1.92

52%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

4.49

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

35%

Gornik Zabrze

2.82

18%

Lech Poznan

5.45

Win to Nil

18%

Gornik Zabrze

5.43

4%

Lech Poznan

24.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.7 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.0 11.4 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.7 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.696
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 2.733
League avg home goals 1.596
League avg away goals 1.242
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.181
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.925
Lech Poznan attack strength 0.902
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.900
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53