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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 6 Dec 2024

19:30

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

36%

Gornik Zabrze

2.76

31%

Draw

3.20

32%

Lech Poznan

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.2%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

1.95

0.94

Lech Poznan xG

36%
31%
32%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLech Poznan

2.76

36%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

39%

Gornik Zabrze

2.56

36%

Lech Poznan

2.75

Win to Nil

14%

Gornik Zabrze

7.06

12%

Lech Poznan

8.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.2 13.3 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.4 13.5 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 7.3 6.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
3 2.5 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.013
λ Away (xG) 0.941
Total xG 1.954
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.223
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.926
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.875
Lech Poznan attack strength 0.879
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.746
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51