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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 31 Jan 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion ul. Bukowa

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GKS Katowice Win

43%

GKS Katowice

2.34

28%

Draw

3.58

29%

Stal Mielec

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

2.46

1.09

Stal Mielec xG

43%
28%
29%
GKS KatowiceDrawStal Mielec

2.34

43%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

34%

GKS Katowice

2.98

25%

Stal Mielec

3.94

Win to Nil

14%

GKS Katowice

6.98

7%

Stal Mielec

13.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.3 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.7 12.8 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.7 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.371
λ Away (xG) 1.092
Total xG 2.463
League avg home goals 1.429
League avg away goals 1.211
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.879
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.012
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.890
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.091
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 52