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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadion miejski w Katowicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GKS Katowice Win

51%

GKS Katowice

1.95

28%

Draw

3.63

21%

Motor Lublin

4.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

2.54

0.94

Motor Lublin xG

51%
28%
21%
GKS KatowiceDrawMotor Lublin

1.95

51%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

4.75

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

39%

GKS Katowice

2.57

20%

Motor Lublin

4.94

Win to Nil

20%

GKS Katowice

5.00

4%

Motor Lublin

23.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 7.4 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 12.6 11.9 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.5 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.3 5.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.597
λ Away (xG) 0.944
Total xG 2.541
League avg home goals 1.421
League avg away goals 1.097
GKS Katowice attack strength 1.048
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.803
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.072
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62