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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

19:15

Venue

Arena Katowice

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GKS Katowice Win

46%

GKS Katowice

2.17

24%

Draw

4.13

30%

Legia Warszawa

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

2.92

1.27

Legia Warszawa xG

46%
24%
30%
GKS KatowiceDrawLegia Warszawa

2.17

46%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

28%

GKS Katowice

3.58

19%

Legia Warszawa

5.20

Win to Nil

13%

GKS Katowice

7.74

6%

Legia Warszawa

17.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.9 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.9 11.3 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.3 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.0 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.648
λ Away (xG) 1.274
Total xG 2.922
League avg home goals 1.500
League avg away goals 1.226
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.940
GKS Katowice defence strength 0.852
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.219
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.169
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 63