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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion miejski w Katowicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GKS Katowice Win

49%

GKS Katowice

2.02

28%

Draw

3.53

22%

Arka Gdynia

4.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

GKS Katowice xG

Total xG

2.17

0.81

Arka Gdynia xG

49%
28%
22%
GKS KatowiceDrawArka Gdynia

2.02

49%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

4.50

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.41

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

44%

GKS Katowice

2.25

26%

Arka Gdynia

3.88

Win to Nil

22%

GKS Katowice

4.56

6%

Arka Gdynia

17.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 9.3 3.8 1.0 0.2
1 15.5 12.6 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.5 8.5 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 4.8 3.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.356
λ Away (xG) 0.812
Total xG 2.168
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.240
GKS Katowice attack strength 0.929
GKS Katowice defence strength 1.044
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.627
Arka Gdynia defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 4