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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cracovia Krakow Win

53%

Cracovia Krakow

1.89

21%

Draw

4.70

26%

Lechia Gdansk

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 0

6.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

Cracovia Krakow xG

Total xG

3.47

1.40

Lechia Gdansk xG

53%
21%
26%
Cracovia KrakowDrawLechia Gdansk

1.89

53%

Home win

4.70

21%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.94

Clean Sheet

25%

Cracovia Krakow

4.07

13%

Lechia Gdansk

7.92

Win to Nil

13%

Cracovia Krakow

7.70

3%

Lechia Gdansk

30.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.4 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.4 9.0 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 6.6 9.3 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.6 6.4 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 2.4 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.070
λ Away (xG) 1.404
Total xG 3.474
League avg home goals 1.550
League avg away goals 1.238
Cracovia Krakow attack strength 1.058
Cracovia Krakow defence strength 1.310
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.866
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.262
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 30