Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arka Gdynia Win

39%

Arka Gdynia

2.53

25%

Draw

3.99

35%

Pogon Szczecin

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Arka Gdynia xG

Total xG

2.84

1.37

Pogon Szczecin xG

39%
25%
35%
Arka GdyniaDrawPogon Szczecin

2.53

39%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

25%

Arka Gdynia

3.95

23%

Pogon Szczecin

4.32

Win to Nil

10%

Arka Gdynia

10.01

8%

Pogon Szczecin

12.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 8.1 5.5 2.5 0.9 0.2
1 8.6 11.8 8.1 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 6.3 8.6 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 3.1 4.2 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.463
λ Away (xG) 1.374
Total xG 2.837
League avg home goals 1.541
League avg away goals 1.254
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.790
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.115
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.982
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.203
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 3 / 37