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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Mon 18 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arka Gdynia Win

50%

Arka Gdynia

1.98

26%

Draw

3.84

24%

Nieciecza

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Arka Gdynia xG

Total xG

2.86

1.13

Nieciecza xG

50%
26%
24%
Arka GdyniaDrawNieciecza

1.98

50%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

32%

Arka Gdynia

3.08

18%

Nieciecza

5.65

Win to Nil

16%

Arka Gdynia

6.12

4%

Nieciecza

24.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.5 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.9 11.2 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.7 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.6 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.732
λ Away (xG) 1.126
Total xG 2.858
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.158
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.883
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.098
Nieciecza attack strength 0.886
Nieciecza defence strength 1.421
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32