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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

19:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

36%

Arka Gdynia

2.79

24%

Draw

4.11

40%

Lechia Gdansk

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Arka Gdynia xG

Total xG

3.57

1.83

Lechia Gdansk xG

36%
24%
40%
Arka GdyniaDrawLechia Gdansk

2.79

36%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.42

30%

BTTS No

3.37

Clean Sheet

16%

Arka Gdynia

6.25

18%

Lechia Gdansk

5.67

Win to Nil

6%

Arka Gdynia

17.45

7%

Lechia Gdansk

14.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 5.2 4.7 2.9 1.3 0.5
1 4.9 9.0 8.2 5.0 2.3 0.8
2 4.2 7.8 7.1 4.4 2.0 0.7
3 2.5 4.5 4.1 2.5 1.2 0.4
4 1.1 2.0 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.735
λ Away (xG) 1.833
Total xG 3.568
League avg home goals 1.375
League avg away goals 1.184
Arka Gdynia attack strength 1.054
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.117
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.386
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.197
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 56