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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gdyni

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lech Poznan Win

32%

Arka Gdynia

3.11

33%

Draw

3.06

35%

Lech Poznan

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Arka Gdynia xG

Total xG

2.27

1.17

Lech Poznan xG

32%
33%
35%
Arka GdyniaDrawLech Poznan

3.11

32%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

31%

Arka Gdynia

3.21

33%

Lech Poznan

3.02

Win to Nil

10%

Arka Gdynia

10.00

12%

Lech Poznan

8.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 12.0 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.4 13.3 7.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.3 7.4 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.106
λ Away (xG) 1.167
Total xG 2.273
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.215
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.876
Arka Gdynia defence strength 0.914
Lech Poznan attack strength 1.051
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.790
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 47