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Over 3.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 3.5 probability β€” Sunday 8 November 2020

Over 3.5 goals requires at least 4 goals β€” a higher-risk, higher-reward market. Our prediction model sums all scorelines with 4 or more total goals to calculate this probability. Fixtures here are the most attacking matchups of the day, ideal for both teams to score accumulators and big-game scoring markets.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 8 November 2020. The strongest reading belongs to Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund at 64% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 3.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
7 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
2 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 3 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
5 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
2 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 0 FT
Stabaek
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
4 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 3.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 25%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 3.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 3.5 Goals market mean?

Over 3.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 4 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 3.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 3.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 4 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 3.5 Goals on Sunday 8 November 2020?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund at 64% over 3.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest over 3.5 probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 3.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.