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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Tuesday 9 February 2027

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Tuesday 9 February 2027. York vs Cheltenham sits top on 66% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies six of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
York
– : – 19:45
Cheltenham
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 League One Β· England
Stockport County
– : – 19:45
Luton
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
– : – 19:45
Bromley
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 League Two Β· England
Rotherham
– : – 19:45
Tranmere
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 League One Β· England
Blackpool
– : – 19:45
Barnsley
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#6 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
– : – 19:45
Wigan
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 League Two Β· England
Newport County
– : – 19:45
Salford City
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
– : – 19:45
Wycombe
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 League One Β· England
Notts County
– : – 19:45
Doncaster
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Tuesday 9 February 2027?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by York vs Cheltenham at 66% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.