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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 27 July 2025

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 July 2025. Bryne vs Viking sits top on 68% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the over 2.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bryne
1 : 3 FT
Viking
Win 28%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 0 FT
Utsikten
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
1 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
4 : 1 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
0 : 2 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 27%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 2 FT
FC Thun
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
3 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 2 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 1 FT
Genk
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 15 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 27 July 2025?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bryne vs Viking at 68% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.