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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Tuesday 10 May 2022

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 10 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen at 71% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 2.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
4 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 29%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
3 : 2 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 56%

Showing top 5 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Tuesday 10 May 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen at 71% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.