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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 15 April 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Thursday 15 April 2027. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Riyadh sits top on 91% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies seven of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
: 18:00
Al Riyadh
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
: 18:00
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
: 18:00
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
: 18:00
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
: 18:00
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
: 18:00
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 9%
Draw 23%
Win 67%
BTTS No 55%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
: 18:00
NEOM
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 15 April 2027?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Riyadh at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.