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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 8 January 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Six fixtures clear the bar on Friday 8 January 2027. FC Eindhoven vs Jong AZ sits top on 96% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
: 19:00
Jong AZ
Win 29%
Draw 18%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 83%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
: 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
: 19:00
De Graafschap
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
: 19:00
Fortuna Sittard
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
: 19:00
VVV Venlo
Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
: 20:00
Blackpool
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 8 January 2027?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs Jong AZ at 96% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.