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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 19 July 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Sunday 19 July 2026. Halmstad vs BK Hacken sits top on 86% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 70%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
United Nordic
2 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
FF Jaro
0 : 0 FT
Inter Turku
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
4 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Anyang
1 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 3 FT
Sirius
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
3 : 0 FT
Sandviken
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 19 July 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Halmstad vs BK Hacken at 86% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.