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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 22 December 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Monday 22 December 2025. Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Trabzonspor led the list at 85% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4 : 3 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
1 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
5 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
0 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
Win 14%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 0 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Alverca
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 14%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 22 December 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Trabzonspor at 85% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.