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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 18 June 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 18 June 2025. Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG led the list at 94% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Veikkausliiga supplies five of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 1.5 goals market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 29%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
2 : 3 FT
SJK
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 0 FT
KuPS
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Super League Β· China
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 0 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
0 : 0 FT
Gnistan
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
3 : 1 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
FF Jaro
2 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 18 June 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Henan Jianye vs SHANGHAI SIPG at 94% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.