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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 24 February 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Monday 24 February 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht at 88% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
4 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
0 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Motor Lublin
3 : 2 FT
GKS Katowice
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 1 FT
O'Higgins
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Livyi Bereh
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 2 FT
Al Orubah
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 3 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 10 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 24 February 2025?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.