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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 29 June 2024

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 29 June 2024. SHANGHAI SIPG vs Hangzhou Greentown led the list at 91% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
2 : 1 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 5 FT
FC Seoul
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
4 : 1 FT
Sandviken
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
4 : 3 FT
Forge
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 2 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
2 : 2 FT
Ilves
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 29 June 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Hangzhou Greentown at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.