Sign in Register
⚑

Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 14 February 2024

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Wednesday 14 February 2024. Port FC vs Muangthong United sits top on 91% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Thai League 1 supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
4 : 3 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Championship Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 35%
Draw 21%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Championship Β· England
Preston
2 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 31%
Draw 21%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
1 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 27%
Draw 20%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
4 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 3 FT
Pardubice
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
2 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
4 : 2 FT
Police Tero
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
0 : 2 FT
Oostende
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 14 February 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Port FC vs Muangthong United at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.