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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 9 February 2024

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 9 February 2024. Adana Demirspor vs Kasımpaşa led the list at 88% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
3 : 0 FT
Portimonense
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
3 : 4 FT
Hannover 96
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 3 FT
Gillingham
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
4 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Ruch Chorzów
0 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
2 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
1 : 0 FT
Brescia
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
1 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 27%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
1 : 3 FT
Empoli
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 9 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Adana Demirspor vs Kasımpaşa at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.