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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 8 June 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Five fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 8 June 2023. Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Ruby FC sits top on 83% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 72%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
4 : 1 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
1 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Cagliari
1 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#5 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
0 : 0 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 5 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 8 June 2023?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Ruby FC at 83% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.