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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 9 June 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Friday 9 June 2023. Shamrock Rovers vs UCD led the list at 90% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies four of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
2 : 3 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
2 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 9 June 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs UCD at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.