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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 1 February 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 1 February 2023. Club Brugge II vs K. Lierse S.K. sits top on 91% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 1 supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
4 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
3 : 2 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
3 : 2 FT
Ümraniyespor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
3 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
1 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
1 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 16%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
5 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
0 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
4 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
5 : 0 FT
SC Braga
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
4 : 2 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
3 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
0 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 15 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 1 February 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Club Brugge II vs K. Lierse S.K. at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.