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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 26 November 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 26 November 2022. Hebei Zhongji vs Hangzhou Greentown led the list at 91% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Hebei Zhongji
1 : 6 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 5%
Draw 11%
βœ“ Win 84%
✓ Over 2.5 77%
#2 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
5 : 0 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 2 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
3 : 1 FT
Ternana
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
3 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
1 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 2 FT
Modena
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#10 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 4 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 11%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Inhulets
1 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 26 November 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Hebei Zhongji vs Hangzhou Greentown at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.