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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 6 December 2020

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 6 December 2020. Molde vs Aalesund led the list at 93% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Allsvenskan supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the over 1.5 goals market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
2 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 2 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
2 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
3 : 4 FT
Helsingborg
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 2 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
2 : 3 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
4 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 17%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 53%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
2 : 2 FT
Haugesund
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
1 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 0 FT
Start
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0 FT
Sirius
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 14 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 6 December 2020?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Aalesund at 93% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.