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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 24 October 2020

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 24 October 2020. Bayern München vs Eintracht Frankfurt led the list at 92% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the over 1.5 goals market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
5 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 14%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 72%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 3 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 21%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
2 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Start
0 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
1 : 1 FT
Stabaek
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
4 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 24 October 2020?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Eintracht Frankfurt at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.