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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Saturday 19 September 2026

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 19 September 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Artis vs Slovan Liberec at 73% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 60%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the one-sided market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Artis
0 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 9%
Draw 18%
Win 73%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
GKS Katowice
3 : 2 FT
Cracovia Krakow
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 23%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 68%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
1 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0 FT
Bukovyna
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 26%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 60%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 15%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 FT
Chapecoense-sc
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 League One Β· England
Bromley
2 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 11%
Draw 26%
Win 64%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 3 FT
Barcelona
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
4 : 0 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
1 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
2 : 1 FT
Padova
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 0 FT
Iraklis 1908
Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 League Two Β· England
Crewe
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 15 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 19 September 2026?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Artis vs Slovan Liberec at 73% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.