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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Viking cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Sandefjord.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Viking beat Sandefjord 3-1 at Lyse Arena, Regular Season - 7, in the Eliteserien. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Viking 2.46 xG and Sandefjord 1.29 xG, a combined 3.75. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Viking attack 1.49 / defence 1.02 against Sandefjord attack 0.91 / defence 1.07, drawn from 38/36 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Viking 62% | Draw 21% | Sandefjord 17%, with Viking to win its most likely call at 62%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 72%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 90% and landed. Over 3.5 was 52% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 67% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Viking 60%, Sandefjord 62%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Viking's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did.

Sandefjord's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Viking arrived the stronger side — 1.92 PPG against 1.08. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Sandefjord (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 2.10 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights