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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Bryne cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Stromsgodset.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Bryne beat Stromsgodset 0-2 at Marienlyst Stadion, Regular Season - 7, in the Eliteserien. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Stromsgodset 1.98 xG and Bryne 1.28 xG, a combined 3.26. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Stromsgodset fell 2.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Stromsgodset attack 0.87 / defence 1.08 against Bryne attack 0.85 / defence 1.46, drawn from 36/6 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Stromsgodset 52% | Draw 25% | Bryne 23%, with Stromsgodset to win its most likely call at 52%. Instead the game produced a Bryne win, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights