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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

18:15

Venue

Lerkendal Stadion

Competition

Eliteserien

Norway

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rosenborg Win

58%

Rosenborg

1.73

23%

Draw

4.37

19%

Sarpsborg 08 FF

5.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Rosenborg xG

Total xG

2.83

0.97

Sarpsborg 08 FF xG

58%
23%
19%
RosenborgDrawSarpsborg 08 FF

1.73

58%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

5.22

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

38%

Rosenborg

2.64

16%

Sarpsborg 08 FF

6.40

Win to Nil

22%

Rosenborg

4.55

3%

Sarpsborg 08 FF

33.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 11.0 10.7 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.3 6.1 3.0 1.0 0.2
4 2.9 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.856
λ Away (xG) 0.969
Total xG 2.825
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.273
Rosenborg attack strength 1.031
Rosenborg defence strength 0.739
Sarpsborg 08 FF attack strength 1.030
Sarpsborg 08 FF defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53