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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Tromso cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Kristiansund BK.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Tromso beat Kristiansund BK 1-3 at Kristiansund Stadion, Regular Season - 30, in the Eliteserien. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kristiansund BK 1.39 xG and Tromso 1.43 xG, a combined 2.82. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Tromso outscored their 1.43 projection by 1.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kristiansund BK attack 0.88 / defence 1.09 against Tromso attack 0.96 / defence 0.89, drawn from 58/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kristiansund BK 36% | Draw 25% | Tromso 38%, with Tromso to win its most likely call at 38%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. Over 3.5 was 31% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kristiansund BK 53%, Tromso 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kristiansund BK's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

Tromso's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Kristiansund BK 1.17 PPG, Tromso 1.50 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Tromso win broke the near-deadlock. Kristiansund BK (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.52 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Tromso (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.14 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights