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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Bryne cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Haugesund.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Bryne beat Haugesund 3-1 at Bryne Stadion, Regular Season - 3, in the Eliteserien. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bryne 1.12 xG and Haugesund 1.09 xG, a combined 2.21. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Bryne beat their projection by 1.9 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bryne attack 0.71 / defence 1.10 against Haugesund attack 0.84 / defence 0.98, drawn from 2/32 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Bryne 36% | Draw 29% | Haugesund 35%, with Bryne to win its most likely call at 36%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 38%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 65% and landed. Over 3.5 was 18% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights