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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Bryne and Ham-Kam share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Bryne and Ham-Kam finished level at 1-1 at Bryne Stadion, Regular Season - 11, in the Eliteserien. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bryne 1.84 xG and Ham-Kam 1.58 xG, a combined 3.42. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Bryne fell 0.8 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bryne attack 1.08 / defence 1.36 against Ham-Kam attack 0.84 / defence 1.07, drawn from 10/40 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Bryne 44% | Draw 23% | Ham-Kam 33%, with Bryne to win its most likely call at 44%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 66%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 45% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 67% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights