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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 14 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PEC Zwolle Win

29%

Willem II

3.44

25%

Draw

4.05

46%

PEC Zwolle

2.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

2 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Willem II xG

Total xG

3.26

1.83

PEC Zwolle xG

29%
25%
46%
Willem IIDrawPEC Zwolle

3.44

29%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

2.16

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

16%

Willem II

6.26

24%

PEC Zwolle

4.17

Win to Nil

5%

Willem II

21.52

11%

PEC Zwolle

9.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 7.0 6.4 3.9 1.8 0.7
1 5.5 10.0 9.2 5.6 2.6 0.9
2 3.9 7.2 6.6 4.0 1.8 0.7
3 1.9 3.4 3.1 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.427
λ Away (xG) 1.834
Total xG 3.261
League avg home goals 1.603
League avg away goals 1.342
Willem II attack strength 0.729
Willem II defence strength 1.355
PEC Zwolle attack strength 1.009
PEC Zwolle defence strength 1.221
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 66