Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

15:45

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

34%

Willem II

2.93

28%

Draw

3.54

38%

NEC Nijmegen

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.31

1.19

NEC Nijmegen xG

34%
28%
38%
Willem IIDrawNEC Nijmegen

2.93

34%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

30%

Willem II

3.30

33%

NEC Nijmegen

3.07

Win to Nil

10%

Willem II

9.68

12%

NEC Nijmegen

8.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 11.8 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.1 13.2 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.2 7.4 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.121
λ Away (xG) 1.194
Total xG 2.315
League avg home goals 1.701
League avg away goals 1.283
Willem II attack strength 0.671
Willem II defence strength 1.089
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 0.855
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 50