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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

53%

Willem II

1.88

26%

Draw

3.81

20%

Groningen

4.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.32

0.82

Groningen xG

53%
26%
20%
Willem IIDrawGroningen

1.88

53%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

4.89

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.30

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

44%

Willem II

2.27

22%

Groningen

4.49

Win to Nil

23%

Willem II

4.26

5%

Groningen

21.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 8.0 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 14.7 12.1 5.0 1.4 0.3
2 11.1 9.1 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 5.5 4.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.502
λ Away (xG) 0.820
Total xG 2.322
League avg home goals 1.687
League avg away goals 1.340
Willem II attack strength 0.757
Willem II defence strength 1.060
Groningen attack strength 0.577
Groningen defence strength 1.175
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 22