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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Feyenoord Win

26%

Willem II

3.79

22%

Draw

4.49

51%

Feyenoord

1.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Willem II xG

Total xG

3.23

1.91

Feyenoord xG

26%
22%
51%
Willem IIDrawFeyenoord

3.79

26%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

1.95

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

15%

Willem II

6.76

27%

Feyenoord

3.73

Win to Nil

4%

Willem II

25.64

14%

Feyenoord

7.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 7.6 7.2 4.6 2.2 0.8
1 5.2 10.0 9.5 6.1 2.9 1.1
2 3.4 6.6 6.3 4.0 1.9 0.7
3 1.5 2.9 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.316
λ Away (xG) 1.911
Total xG 3.227
League avg home goals 1.702
League avg away goals 1.320
Willem II attack strength 0.868
Willem II defence strength 1.053
Feyenoord attack strength 1.375
Feyenoord defence strength 0.891
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 52