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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
31%
3.26
28%
3.63
42%
2.40
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.1%
Away win
1 – 0
10.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.08
Willem II xG
Total xG
2.38
1.30
AZ Alkmaar xG
Willem IIDrawAZ Alkmaar
3.26
31%
Home win
3.63
28%
Draw
2.40
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.08
52%
BTTS No
1.92
Clean Sheet
27%
3.68
34%
2.94
Win to Nil
8%
12.00
14%
7.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 12.1 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.077
λ Away (xG)
1.304
Total xG
2.381
League avg home goals
1.671
League avg away goals
1.378
Willem II attack strength
0.845
Willem II defence strength
0.978
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
0.967
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.762
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
20 / 54