Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

17:45

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

37%

Willem II

2.72

29%

Draw

3.45

34%

Almere City FC

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.33

1.14

Almere City FC xG

37%
29%
34%
Willem IIDrawAlmere City FC

2.72

37%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

32%

Willem II

3.12

30%

Almere City FC

3.29

Win to Nil

12%

Willem II

8.47

10%

Almere City FC

9.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 11.1 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.6 13.2 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.9 7.9 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.190
λ Away (xG) 1.137
Total xG 2.327
League avg home goals 1.590
League avg away goals 1.314
Willem II attack strength 0.828
Willem II defence strength 1.261
Almere City FC attack strength 0.686
Almere City FC defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 60